Trading Bases

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Baseball, blogging, and betting

Oh Brother!

The most prominent way Doug differed from the family was in his refusal to root for the Phillies. Based on the first card out of the wrapper of his first pack of baseball cards, Doug took one look...

May 2, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

Game Theory: Baker Cooks up a Mess

There’s an expression in sabermetric circles that sums up a starting pitcher’s erosion in effectiveness the longer he stays in the game: “A team’s worst pitcher is the one who is facing an opposing...

Apr 17, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

Opening Day 2013, An Appreciation

I hope you enjoyed the 2013 season preview over the last six weeks. I thank every one for reading and their comments – even those from fans of the Cincinnati Reds and Atlanta Braves who have given...

Apr 1, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Final Projected Standings

On this, the morning of Houston's inaugural game as an American League team and on the eve of Opening Day, I give you a finalized look at the projected standings for MLB's 2013 season. Thanks to my...

Mar 31, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Chicago Cubs

All of this leads to the following conclusion: Bullpens that post terrible results usually aren’t as bad as the results might indicate. In other words, it’s hard to expect a bullpen to be awful. If...

Mar 30, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates fooled me last year and maybe it’s because I wanted to get fooled. Outside of the Phillies somehow managing to wrest control of the NL East back from the Nationals, this is the outlook...

Mar 30, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Milwaukee Brewers

Last year had to be both pleasing and depressing for Brewers fans. Pleasing because the team that lost Prince Fielder to free agency still finished as the highest-scoring team in the National...

Mar 29, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Cincinnati Reds

161 games. A lot went right for Cincinnati in a lot of different ways but the most obvious element is represented by 161 games. That’s the number of starts made by the Reds starting rotation. How...

Mar 28, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: St. Louis Cardinals

Masked by the nine games they finished behind the Cincinnati Reds during the regular season, the Cardinals near-run to a second National League pennant (and perhaps a second-straight World...

Mar 27, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Colorado Rockies

I wasn’t going to write a lot about the Rockies. A reader took exception to my assertion that, because San Francisco was the highest scoring team in the National League over 81 games on the road...

Mar 26, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Arizona Diamondbacks

To my eye, the Arizona Diamondbacks ended the 2012 season very much like the New York Mets – a team much closer to making the postseason than their final record indicated. It’s hard for me to...

Mar 26, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: San Diego Padres

Like the San Francisco Giants, playing in a home park that suppresses scoring makes it hard to see just how promising an offense the San Diego Padres possessed last year. The Padres were 23rd in...

Mar 25, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: San Francisco Giants

Consider this: In the current run-scoring environment in the majors, a team that scores 800 runs is an elite offense. Only the Rangers and Yankees did it last year, and no National League team has...

Mar 24, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Los Angeles Dodgers

Although I haven’t written all of the National League previews yet, during some of my interviews promoting my book, I have been asked about my thoughts on the National League this year....

Mar 24, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Miami Marlins

It may feel like I’m giving Miami the short end of the analysis stick, but I assure you that’s not the case. I’ve already covered them. How, you ask? Well in the Cleveland essay I mentioned that...

Mar 22, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: New York Mets

As a baseball fan/analyst, the NY Mets frustrate me. (Full Disclosure: As a Phillies fan, I have no issues whatsoever with how the Mets ownership operates its franchise.) I’m sure die-hard fans of...

Mar 22, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Atlanta Braves

B.J. Upton played centerfield for the Tampa Bay Rays for six full seasons and only once was his performance even low enough to be called league-average (2009). In every other year he’s consistently...

Mar 21, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Philadelphia Phillies

I think I can sum up the impression of the team held by many baseball fans. “The Phillies are a collection of broken-down, overpaid players who all got old at the same time last year – just like...

Mar 20, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Washington Nationals

A year ago, it wasn’t too hard to see that the Washington Nationals had a bright future. Despite the fact that the franchise had never had a winning record since moving from Montreal to Washington...

Mar 19, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Minnesota Twins

In 2012, the Twins staff only struck out 15.2% of the batters they faced. The next worse team was the Indians at 17.3%, a huge 2.1% gap. (The gap between those two teams (30th and 29th) was larger...

Mar 18, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Kansas City Royals

Sabermetric types – at least those who are attacked for working out of their mother’s basement – are frequently scolded by baseball insiders as not understanding the softer skills that are needed...

Mar 15, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Chicago White Sox

I know it’s disappointing if your favorite baseball team spends 126 calendar days in first place and doesn’t make the playoffs, but fans of the Chicago White Sox should be pleased with the 2012...

Mar 12, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Cleveland Indians

Vegas established an opening market for Boston’s and Toronto’s total wins 13 ½ and 14 ½ wins higher for 2013 than their 2012 totals respectively. Those levels represent, by far, the highest...

Mar 11, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Detroit Tigers

The fans and front office management of the Cleveland Indians and the Chicago White Sox, and maybe even if they want to dabble in a bit of delusion, the Kansas City Royals must feel an awful lot...

Mar 10, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Baltimore Orioles

All of those moves paid off handsomely and over the last 62 games of the season the Orioles went a deserved 41-21 considering they outscored their opponents by 65 runs in those games – 2nd best in...

Mar 8, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays and Red Sox were essentially mirror images of each other last year. Boston played like a 74-win team that actually won 69 games and Toronto won 73 games but complied offensive and...

Mar 7, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: Boston Red Sox

In 2012 Boston had 21 different players make at least 100 plate appearances – and a 22nd player, Darnell McDonald, made 99. 2012 was also the first year since 2001 (when Joe Kerrigan finished the...

Mar 5, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

Weekend in New England; The 2013 Sloan Sports Conference

During his time as head coach of the Green Bay Packers, Forrest Gregg one summer reported to training camp newly married. During a press conference, he was engaged in small talk with reporters when...

Mar 3, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

2013 Preview: New York Yankees

Boy, I haven’t seen this much grave dancing since Seal Team Six accomplished its mission. Just about everyone is throwing dirt on the 2013 prospects of the New York Yankees with most accounts...

Feb 27, 2013 Like

Trading Bases

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Trading Bases

Oh Brother!

Game Theory: Baker Cooks up a Mess

Opening Day 2013, An Appreciation

2013 Preview: Final Projected Standings

2013 Preview: Chicago Cubs

2013 Preview: Pittsburgh Pirates

2013 Preview: Milwaukee Brewers

2013 Preview: Cincinnati Reds

2013 Preview: St. Louis Cardinals

2013 Preview: Colorado Rockies

2013 Preview: Arizona Diamondbacks

2013 Preview: San Diego Padres

2013 Preview: San Francisco Giants

2013 Preview: Los Angeles Dodgers

2013 Preview: Miami Marlins

2013 Preview: New York Mets

2013 Preview: Atlanta Braves

2013 Preview: Philadelphia Phillies

2013 Preview: Washington Nationals

2013 Preview: Minnesota Twins

2013 Preview: Kansas City Royals

2013 Preview: Chicago White Sox

2013 Preview: Cleveland Indians

2013 Preview: Detroit Tigers

2013 Preview: Baltimore Orioles

2013 Preview: Toronto Blue Jays

2013 Preview: Boston Red Sox

Weekend in New England; The 2013 Sloan Sports Conference

2013 Preview: New York Yankees

2013 Preview: Tampa Bay Rays

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